Freight Outlook: Still Optimistic

Written By Sandy Cahill

Ready for a turn in the market?

We are too! Here are some key indicators that suggest an uptick in the next few months.

Positive Signs for the Freight Market

Admit it, we've all been living with what we hope is the bottom of the freight market. But I’m kind of a half-glass-full gal. While cautious optimism might be the name of the game, some key indicators suggest a potential uptick in the coming months. Here are some of those indicators:

Demand on the Rise:

  • Produce Season: The upcoming season promises increased demand for freight movement in the agricultural sector.

  • Manufacturing Muscles Up: Expansion in manufacturing translates to more volume.

  • Imports on the Rise: US container imports are surging, exceeding pre-pandemic levels in 2019.

Industry Experts Weigh In:

  • ACT Research: Their April 2024 data points towards a market upswing

  • Freightos: Their Q1 report offers valuable insights into global freight rates, capacity changes, and demand levels.

Data Points Painting a Brighter Picture:

Here's a breakdown of some key findings gleaned from various sources:

  • FreightWaves: The gap between dry van truckload spot and contract rates is nearing its most balanced point since the last holiday season, indicating potential market stabilization.

  • FMCSA: The number of active truckload operating authorities has decreased since November 2023, suggesting a potential supply correction.

  • DAT: New truck orders are finally experiencing a decline both m/m and y/y, potentially leading to a more balanced equipment landscape.

Looking Forward with Optimism:

  • Global Indicators: Eurozone inflation is cooling down, and US consumer spending remains strong.

  • Ocean Freight: US ocean imports are strong, still above 2019 levels.

  • Air Cargo: Air cargo demand remains elevated due to ongoing ocean (Red Sea, Panama) disruptions.

  • Capacity Tightening: Overall freight capacity appears to be tightening, suggesting a potential move towards a more balanced market.

The Bottom Line:

While a full recovery might not be here just yet, these positive indicators suggest the market may have bottomed out and is poised for an upswing. With a focus on data-driven insights and a dash of optimism, the future of the freight market might be finally experiencing an upward curve!

Are you ready for a market uptick? Position your company to be ready to take advantage when the inevitable happens. Contact us to find out how.

Sandy Cahill
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